Determining
the Ratings in a round-robin tournament.
The
example has been created to demonstrate the methodology and also to show how the
invitees should be chosen carefully.
What
follows differs from the Handbook. The workings are shown more clearly and the
arithmetic has been corrected.
player |
rating |
score |
p |
dp |
Rc |
Ru |
Rc |
Ru |
D |
PD |
We |
DR |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(new) |
(new) |
|
|
|
|
A |
2600 |
8 |
.89 |
351 |
2320 |
|
2373 |
|
227 |
.79 |
7.11 |
+8.9 |
B |
2500 |
7 |
.78 |
220 |
2331 |
|
2350 |
|
150 |
.7 |
6.3 |
+7 |
C |
u |
7 |
|
|
2348 |
2411 |
2355 |
2418 |
|
|
|
|
D |
2400 |
6 |
.67 |
125 |
2342 |
|
2348 |
|
52 |
.57 |
5.13 |
+8.7 |
E |
u |
6 |
|
|
2348 |
2386 |
2352 |
2390 |
|
|
|
|
F |
2150 |
4 |
.44 |
-43 |
2370 |
|
2359 |
|
-209 |
.23 |
2.07 |
+28.95 |
G |
2300 |
3 |
.33 |
-125 |
2353 |
|
2353 |
|
-53 |
.43 |
3.87 |
-13.05 |
H |
u |
2 |
|
|
2348 |
2128 |
2332 |
2112 |
|
|
|
|
I |
u |
1 |
|
|
2348 |
1997 |
2286 |
1935 |
|
|
|
|
J |
2300 |
1 |
.11 |
-351 |
2353 |
|
2353 |
|
-53 |
.43 |
3.87 |
-43.05 |
Rar |
= 2600 + 2500 + 2400 + 2150 + 2300 + 2300 divided by 6 |
Rar |
= 2375 |
dpa |
= 351 + 220 +125 -43 -125 -351 divided by 6 |
dpa |
= 29.5 |
Ra |
= 2375 -29.5 x 9/10 |
Ra |
= 2348 |
For Player C |
Ru = 2348 + 5 x 12.5 |
= 2411 |
For Player E |
Ru = 2348 + 3 x 12.5 |
= 2386 |
For Player H |
Ru = 2348 - 220 |
= 2128 |
For Player I |
Ru = 2348 - 351 |
= 1997 |
However
Player1 is more than 350 points below players A, B, C, D, E.
Player H
is more than 350 points below A.
Player
A
Rc(new) =2366
Player
B,
I
counts as 2150
Rc(new)
=2344
Player
C,
I
counts as 2061. 2061-2032=29.29/9=3
Rc(new
)
=2351
Player
D,
I
counts as 2050
Rc(new)
=2344
Player
E,
I
counts as 2036
Rc(new)
=2348
Player
F,
I
counts as 2500
Rc(new)
=2359
Player
G,
all players are within 350 points
Rc(new)
=2353
Player
H,
A
counts as 2500
Rc(new)
=2337
Player
I,
A, B, C, D, E,
counts as 2382
Rc(new)
=2305
Player
J
all players are within 350 points
Rc(new)
=2353
To
determine the rating changes for the rated players: An example:
Player
G.
D = 2300-2353=-53. P(D)=0.43. We = 0.43 x 9 = 3.87
DR = (3-3.87) x 15 = -13.05 for G
F was a
poor choice of player for the tournament. He dragged down the average rating too
much. If a player rated 2380 or higher had replaced him, C would achieve a
better rating even with one point less. This is because, for unrated players
with plus scores the average rating of the field is extremely important. Had I`s
expected score been so poor, he should not have been chosen, everybody suffered.
|